BMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BMI - Badger Meter, Inc.

TOTALIZING FLUID METERS & COUNTING DEVICES
$131.81
3.68 (2.87%) ▲
5d: +0.76%
30d: +6.99%
90d: +9.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.34
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BMI is currently trading at $131.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.73 to $142.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BMI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $125.01, while resistance sits at $138.84.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.44 (+17.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $127.73 - $142.44
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 18th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($155.44)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $127.73 - $142.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$7.41 (5.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $125.01
Resistance Level $138.84
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.67
Wall Street Target $155.44 (+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.8%
Profit Margin 14.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.7 vs 27.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $130.23 (-1%)
2-Year Target $128.67 (-2%)
3-Year Target $127.12 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→28) $132.03 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.7, Growth: 10.8%) $179.50 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.8%) $135.08 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.8%) $114.82 (-13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.18
Bull Case $166.65 (+26%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case $151.50 (+15%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case $87.13 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.7 to 27.7
Stabilization Target: $136.90 (+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.9%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert Wrocklage BUY 1000 shares 2026-04-23
Christina M Tarantino BUY 870 shares 2026-04-21
Edward F Callahan BUY 858 shares 2026-04-21

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