Is BWA stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BWA is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: BWA is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of BWA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BWA to be between $62.90 and $67.82. The current price is $67.78.

What is the analyst price target for BWA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BWA is $79.67. This implies a potential upside of 17.5% from current levels.

BWA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BWA - BorgWarner Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

$67.78

2.98 (4.60%) ▲

5d: -1.28%

30d: +5.36%

90d: +6.66%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your BWA Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $66.23 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWA is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$92.56

Based on 8.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$57.47

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BWA is currently trading at $67.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.90 to $67.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BWA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.55, while resistance sits at $70.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.67 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $62.90 - $67.82

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.67)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.90 - $67.82

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $64.55

Resistance Level $70.98

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.41

Wall Street Target $79.67 (+17.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 30.1%

Profit Margin 2.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.7% premium

PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 10.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $70.29 (+4%)

2-Year Target $72.89 (+8%)

3-Year Target $75.59 (+12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $67.57 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.8%) $175.78 (+159%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.8%) $99.94 (+47%)

Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 13.8%) $84.94 (+25%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 32.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99

Bull Case $142.56 (+110%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.8

Base Case $129.60 (+91%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6

Bear Case $44.06 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is BWA showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Paul Arthur Farrell SELL 12012 shares 2026-03-12

Stefan Demmerle SELL 2500 shares 2026-03-10

Tonit M Calaway SELL 14021 shares 2026-03-09

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