CART Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CART - Maplebear Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$48.28
-0.11 (-0.23%) ▼
5d: +1.96%
30d: +17.16%
90d: +23.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CART Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 23d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CART is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.85
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.31
9.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CART is currently trading at $48.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.43 to $47.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CART is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CART has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.43 - $47.58
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.38)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.43 - $47.58
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.25
Resistance Level $49.21
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.28
Wall Street Target $50.38 (+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.5%
Profit Margin 12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 16.3 vs 15.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.97 (+1%)
2-Year Target $49.56 (+2%)
3-Year Target $50.15 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) PE COMPRESSION $48.37 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%) $118.40 (+145%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 22.3%) $88.49 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 22.3%) $75.22 (+55%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case $86.74 (+79%)
Analyst growth 63.3%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case $78.86 (+63%)
Market implied 63.3%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case $32.83 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa Blackwood-Kapral SELL 9390 shares 2026-04-15
Lisa Blackwood-Kapral SELL 9390 shares 2026-03-16
Morgan Fong SELL 126083 shares 2026-03-11

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