CB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CB - Chubb Limited
$340.99
-1.88 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-3.47%
90d:
+3.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $343.85 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$417.16
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$259.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CB is currently trading at $340.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $342.61 to $355.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CB scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $340.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CB scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$342.61 -
$355.66
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($366.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 6.1% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$342.61 -
$355.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$340.19
Resistance Level
$351.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.71
Wall Street Target
$366.13
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$343.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$345.09
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$347.16
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$340.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$676.50
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$394.85
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 5.0%)
$335.62
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.39
Bull Case
$386.71
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$351.56
(+3%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$233.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-26
Olivier Steimer
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-19
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