CDRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDRE - Cadre Holdings, Inc.
$28.17
-0.58 (-2.02%)
▼
5d:
-4.64%
30d:
-3.76%
90d:
-12.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CDRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.69
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.85
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDRE is currently trading at $28.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.15 to $30.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.87, while resistance sits at $31.50.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.87, while resistance sits at $31.50.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+62.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.15 -
$30.99
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
68th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CDRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 68th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.8% below Wall St target ($46.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.15 -
$30.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.50
(12.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.87
Resistance Level
$31.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.10
Wall Street Target
$46.80
(+62.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.80
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$24.97
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$23.27
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$28.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$41.45
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.0%)
$38.27
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.0%)
$32.53
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$54.47
(+90%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$49.52
(+72%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$19.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$35.46
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-23
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-16
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