CDRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDRE - Cadre Holdings, Inc.
$28.72
0.39 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
-7.25%
90d:
-12.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDRE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDRE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.69
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.23
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDRE is currently trading at $28.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.04 to $29.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $30.91.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+65.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.29, while resistance sits at $30.91.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+65.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.04 -
$29.93
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.2% below Wall St target ($46.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.04 -
$29.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.88
(10.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.29
Resistance Level
$30.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.81
Wall Street Target
$46.80
(+65.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 24.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.49
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$24.77
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$23.16
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→24)
$28.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$41.45
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$37.71
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$32.05
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$54.21
(+91%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$49.28
(+74%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$19.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 24.3
Stabilization Target:
$34.75
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-23
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-16
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Advanced CDRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CDRE price and gamma walls.
