CDRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDRE - Cadre Holdings, Inc.
$27.53
-0.03 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-5.36%
30d:
-7.74%
90d:
-12.91%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CDRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.29
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.61
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDRE is currently trading at $27.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.66 to $30.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+70.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDRE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CDRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+70.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.66 -
$30.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CDRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.0% below Wall St target ($46.80)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.66 -
$30.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.09
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.87
Resistance Level
$31.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.25
Wall Street Target
$46.80
(+70.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.36
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$23.35
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$21.51
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$27.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.0%)
$41.45
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$36.64
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 10.0%)
$31.15
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$52.23
(+90%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$47.48
(+73%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$18.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$35.18
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 7:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-23
Warren B Kanders
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-16
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Advanced CDRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CDRE price and gamma walls.
