CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$64.59
-3.01 (-4.45%)
▼
5d:
-1.99%
30d:
+0.5%
90d:
+27.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CGNX is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CGNX is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.49
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $64.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.06 to $66.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.4) is in line with its historical norms (34.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.06, while resistance sits at $68.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.25 (+12.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.06, while resistance sits at $68.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.25 (+12.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.06 -
$66.69
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.06 -
$66.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.06
Resistance Level
$68.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.35
Wall Street Target
$76.25
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
122.3%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.4 vs 34.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$72.00
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$74.30
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$115.76
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.6%)
$65.73
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.6%)
$55.87
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.99
Bull Case
$81.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$67.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$51.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angelos Papadimitriou
SELL
4150 shares
2026-02-23
Laura Ann Macdonald
SELL
14881 shares
2026-02-12
Robert Willett
SELL
177052 shares
2026-02-12
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