CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$60.54
0.81 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-7.76%
30d:
-4.57%
90d:
-5.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.08
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $60.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.70 to $66.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.9) compared to its historical average (35.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.05 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CGNX scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.05 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.70 -
$66.73
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($80.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.70 -
$66.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.03
Resistance Level
$67.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.89
Wall Street Target
$80.05
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.2%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.9 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.39
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$54.41
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$51.58
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→35)
$60.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.9, Growth: 19.7%)
$103.85
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 19.7%)
$69.72
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 19.7%)
$59.26
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.79
Bull Case
$73.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$60.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$46.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.9 to 35.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.08
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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