CIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$12.48
-0.18 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
-6.24%
90d:
-9.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.61
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $12.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.35
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.63 -
$13.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.25
Resistance Level
$12.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.71
Wall Street Target
$14.83
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.27
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.06
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$11.85
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$12.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.1%)
$49.59
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 3.1%)
$13.66
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 3.1%)
$11.61
(-7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.11
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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