CIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CIM - Chimera Investment Corp.
$11.52
-0.06 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-6.57%
90d:
-13.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CIM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.95
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CIM is currently trading at $11.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.78 to $12.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CIM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.17 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.78 -
$12.74
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($14.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.78 -
$12.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.50
Resistance Level
$12.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.52
Wall Street Target
$14.17
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.95
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$10.68
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$11.61
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$53.57
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$14.73
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$12.52
(+9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.52
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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