COCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COCO - The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Common Stock
$63.35
-1.82 (-2.79%)
▼
5d:
-2.85%
30d:
-8.68%
90d:
-19.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.42
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COCO is currently trading at $63.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.48 to $71.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (32.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 115.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.05, while resistance sits at $68.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.89 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.05, while resistance sits at $68.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.89 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$63.48 -
$71.71
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($83.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.48 -
$71.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.98
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.05
Resistance Level
$68.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.07
Wall Street Target
$83.89
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
115.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 32.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.87
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$56.57
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$53.46
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→32)
$63.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$97.03
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$71.93
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$61.14
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$92.68
(+46%)
Analyst growth 29.3%, PE expands to 39.6
Base Case
$84.25
(+33%)
Market implied 29.3%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$44.32
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 32.1
Stabilization Target:
$75.11
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin Roper
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-16
Kenneth Sadowsky
SELL
3900 shares
2026-04-15
Martin Roper
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-14
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Advanced COCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COCO price and gamma walls.
