COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COHR - Coherent Corp.

OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES
$289.52
-0.51 (-0.18%) β–Ό
5d: -11.14%
30d: -7.57%
90d: -23.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your COHR Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026 0d
NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why COHR plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $308.64 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

Get Alerted When COHR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COHR is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$407.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$253.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $289.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.64 to $336.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.6) is in line with its historical norms (37.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $277.87, while resistance sits at $386.50.

Market Sentiment: COHR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.09 (+43.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $268.64 - $336.14
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

Protect Your Profits

Holding COHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($416.09)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $268.64 - $336.14
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $277.87
Resistance Level $386.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.59
Wall Street Target $416.09 (+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 73.0%
Profit Margin 11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.6 vs 37.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $282.28 (-3%)
2-Year Target $275.22 (-5%)
3-Year Target $268.34 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35β†’37) $290.18 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.6, Growth: 53.6%) $977.13 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 53.6%) $567.03 (+96%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 53.6%) $481.98 (+67%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.25
Bull Case $349.60 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case $289.52 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case $221.48 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 37.4
Stabilization Target: $313.08 (+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther SELL 2000 shares 2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-25
Howard H Xia SELL 3240 shares 2026-03-17

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for COHR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Scientific & Technical Instruments by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
CGNX
Cognex Corporation
STRONG BUY
21 analysts
$80 46 HOLD
MKSI
MKS Instruments Inc
STRONG BUY
12 analysts
$414 60 HOLD
TRMB
Trimble Inc
STRONG BUY
12 analysts
$80 49 HOLD
KEYS
Keysight Technologies Inc
STRONG BUY
13 analysts
$388 46 HOLD
TDY
Teledyne Technologies In…
STRONG BUY
13 analysts
$757 49 HOLD

Advanced COHR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for COHR

COHR Technical Chart COHR Price Prediction COHR Earnings Date COHR Investment Advisor COHR Fair Price Analyzer COHR Options Advisor COHR Options Chain COHR Options Analysis COHR Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals