CPAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
$11.86
-0.19 (-1.58%)
▼
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
+1.19%
90d:
+12.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.58
Based on -4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $11.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.68 to $12.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (64.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 40.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.68 -
$12.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.79)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.68 -
$12.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.66
Resistance Level
$12.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.95
Wall Street Target
$12.79
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-40.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 64.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-40.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→65)
$40.15
(+239%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -13.3%)
$12.54
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: -13.3%)
$8.65
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: -13.3%)
$7.35
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$15.65
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$14.23
(+20%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$8.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 64.8
Stabilization Target:
$55.08
(+364.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+364.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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