CPAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPAC - CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
$11.95
0.04 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
-0.33%
90d:
+11.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 41.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 41.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.69
53.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPAC is currently trading at $11.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.51 to $12.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (70.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 41.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $12.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPAC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $12.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.51 -
$12.15
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.51 -
$12.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.40
Resistance Level
$12.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.06
Wall Street Target
$12.79
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.1%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-41.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 70.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-41.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.76
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→70)
$43.62
(+265%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 369.6%)
$59.70
(+400%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 369.6%)
$40.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 369.6%)
$34.28
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$15.47
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$14.06
(+18%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$8.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 70.4
Stabilization Target:
$59.84
(+400.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+400.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 25, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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