CPK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPK - Chesapeake Utilities
$121.54
2.57 (2.16%)
▲
5d:
-0.34%
30d:
-4.31%
90d:
-4.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.39
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.43
2.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPK is currently trading at $121.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.94 to $125.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.80 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.80 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$120.94 -
$125.88
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($145.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.94 -
$125.88
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.53
Resistance Level
$126.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.62
Wall Street Target
$145.80
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.02
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$114.59
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$111.27
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$121.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.4%)
$232.14
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 13.4%)
$177.15
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$150.58
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.24
Bull Case
$155.46
(+31%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$141.33
(+19%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$82.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$132.36
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffry M Householder
SELL
1908 shares
2025-12-26
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