CRGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRGY - Crescent Energy Company
$10.01
0.02 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
+6.38%
30d:
-12.8%
90d:
-21.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.46
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $10.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.56 to $11.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.79 (+67.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.79 (+67.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.56 -
$11.19
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.7% below Wall St target ($16.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.56 -
$11.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.72
Resistance Level
$12.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.44
Wall Street Target
$16.79
(+67.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 6.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.11
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.30
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→7)
$10.68
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.8%)
$46.56
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: -1.8%)
$9.49
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: -1.8%)
$8.07
(-19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.65
(+46.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 3:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.
