CRGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRGY - Crescent Energy Company
$11.43
-0.04 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+9.06%
30d:
+22.38%
90d:
-15.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRGY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.82
Based on -36.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $11.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.60 to $11.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.0) compared to its historical average (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 80.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRGY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.87 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRGY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.87 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.60 -
$11.05
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($15.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.60 -
$11.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.23
Resistance Level
$11.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.05
Wall Street Target
$15.87
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 6.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.61
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.84
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$9.13
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$11.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -76.3%)
$45.82
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: -76.3%)
$11.17
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: -76.3%)
$9.49
(-17%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 6.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.25
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.