CTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRN - Citi Trends, Inc.
$71.71
1.56 (2.22%)
â˛
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+16.2%
90d:
+87.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CTRN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CTRN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.65
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRN is currently trading at $71.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.04 to $73.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 82.0) compared to its historical average (58.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.67, while resistance sits at $77.91.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.67, while resistance sits at $77.91.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$65.04 -
$73.31
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($77.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.9% growth expectation is conservative given 739% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.04 -
$73.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.67
Resistance Level
$77.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
81.95
Wall Street Target
$77.00
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
739.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.9% premium
PE vs Historical
82.0 vs 58.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.24
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$89.79
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$100.48
(+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 82â59)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 49.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$47.55
(-34%)
Analyst growth -38.4%, PE expands to 54.3
Base Case
$43.23
(-40%)
Market implied -38.4%, PE stable at 49.4
Bear Case
$47.70
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret L Jenkins
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-06
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