Is DLTR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DLTR is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: DLTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of DLTR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DLTR to be between $124.47 and $130.73. The current price is $131.48.

What is the analyst price target for DLTR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DLTR is $130.04. This implies a potential upside of -1.1% from current levels.

DLTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DLTR - Dollar Tree Inc.

RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

$131.48

3.03 (2.36%) ▲

5d: +1.62%

30d: +11.76%

90d: +37.37%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your DLTR Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 27, 2026 2d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $130.46 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 6.2/10

Get Alerted When DLTR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DLTR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$195.25

Based on 10.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$121.23

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DLTR is currently trading at $131.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.47 to $130.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DLTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $134.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $124.47 - $130.73

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.1%

Protect Your Profits

Holding DLTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($130.04)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $124.47 - $130.73

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $126.43

Resistance Level $134.88

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.50

Wall Street Target $130.04 (-1.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.5%

Profit Margin 6.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium

PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 17.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $136.21 (+4%)

2-Year Target $141.12 (+7%)

3-Year Target $146.20 (+11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $131.20 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.4%) $218.79 (+66%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 17.4%) $212.58 (+62%)

Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 17.4%) $180.70 (+37%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.08

Bull Case $156.68 (+19%)

Analyst growth 10.9%, PE expands to 23.2

Base Case $142.44 (+8%)

Market implied 10.9%, PE stable at 21.1

Bear Case $87.35 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is DLTR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for DLTR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Discount Stores Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Discount Stores by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
WMT Walmart Inc.	STRONG BUY 43 analysts	$128	34 SELL
COST Costco Wholesale Corp	BUY 38 analysts	$1077	45 HOLD
DG Dollar General Corporati…	HOLD 31 analysts	$132	56 HOLD
BJ BJs Wholesale Club Holdi…	BUY 25 analysts	$105	41 HOLD
TGT Target Corporation	SELL 38 analysts	$162	38 SELL

WMT Walmart Inc.

34 SELL

COST Costco Wholesale …

45 HOLD

DG Dollar General Co…

56 HOLD

BJ BJs Wholesale Clu…

41 HOLD

TGT Target Corporation

38 SELL

Advanced DLTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DLTR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for DLTR

DLTR Technical Chart DLTR Price Prediction DLTR Earnings Date DLTR Investment Advisor DLTR Fair Price Analyzer DLTR Options Advisor DLTR Options Chain DLTR Options Analysis DLTR Competitors

Compare DLTR with Peers

DLTR vs DG
Which one to buy?

DLTR vs ROST
Which one to buy?

DLTR vs TJX
Which one to buy?

DLTR vs ULTA
Which one to buy?

DLTR vs ORLY
Which one to buy?

DLTR vs LULU

DLTR vs VRTX
Winner: VRTX

DLTR vs ULTA
Winner: DLTR

DLTR vs PSMT
Winner: DLTR

ACCL vs DLTR
Winner: Tie

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie