BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$90.12
2.07 (2.35%)
▲
5d:
+2.96%
30d:
-2.56%
90d:
-2.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.72
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $90.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.21 to $90.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+14.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.21 -
$90.38
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.21 -
$90.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.80
Resistance Level
$90.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.90
Wall Street Target
$101.10
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.94
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$83.87
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$81.86
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$87.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.7%)
$123.25
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$106.93
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$90.89
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case
$102.07
(+16%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$92.79
(+5%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$58.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$94.59
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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