BJs Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$91.49
1.84 (2.05%)
â˛
5d:
-1.82%
30d:
-1.32%
90d:
+0.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $91.48 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.72
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $91.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.81 to $95.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.65 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.65 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$90.81 -
$95.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BJ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($105.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.81 -
$95.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.72
Resistance Level
$93.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.64
Wall Street Target
$105.65
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.58
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$89.67
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$88.77
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â20)
$91.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.7%)
$114.14
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 6.7%)
$111.11
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$94.44
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.63
Bull Case
$99.24
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$90.22
(-1%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$60.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$94.59
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
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2050 shares
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Advanced BJ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BJ price and gamma walls.
