Is BJ stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BJ is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of BJ stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BJ to be between $92.36 and $101.21. The current price is $106.63.

What is the analyst price target for BJ?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BJ is $104.55. This implies a potential upside of 2.1% from current levels.

BJs Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

$106.63

4.22 (4.12%) ▲

5d: +3.25%

30d: +18.5%

90d: +14.73%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 20, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$122.72

Based on 5.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$76.20

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $106.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.36 to $101.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: BJ scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $92.36 - $101.21

Company Quality Score 25/100 (STRONG SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

Protect Your Profits

BJ is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($104.55)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $92.36 - $101.21

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $98.02

Resistance Level $106.58

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.98

Wall Street Target $104.55 (+2.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.3%

Profit Margin 2.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium

PE vs Historical 22.0 vs 20.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $105.18 (+3%)

2-Year Target $108.01 (+6%)

3-Year Target $110.93 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $102.46 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.7%) $124.37 (+21%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%) $112.38 (+10%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.7%) $95.52 (-7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57

Bull Case $114.77 (+12%)

Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 24.6

Base Case $104.33 (+2%)

Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 22.4

Bear Case $69.58 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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