BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$86.85
3.03 (3.61%)
▲
5d:
-3.72%
30d:
-8.03%
90d:
-9.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.93
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $86.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.63 to $93.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $83.21, while resistance sits at $93.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $83.21, while resistance sits at $93.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$85.63 -
$93.52
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($101.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.63 -
$93.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.21
Resistance Level
$93.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.99
Wall Street Target
$101.10
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.30
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.93
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$73.70
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$83.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.7%)
$123.25
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$101.80
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$86.53
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$100.41
(+20%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$91.28
(+9%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$57.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$95.52
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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