BJ BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-VARIETY STORES

BJs Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$110.71
+0.31 (+0.28%) ▲
5d: -0.17% 30d: +11.19% 90d: +18.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
24/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$99.39 – $109.32
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.8x STRETCHED
vs 20.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$106.05
-4.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$103.64 / $113.35
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BJ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.93
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $110.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.39 to $109.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BJ scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $99.39 - $109.32
Company Quality Score 24/100 (STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $99.39 - $109.32
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $103.64
Resistance Level $113.35
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($106.05)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.76
Wall Street Target $106.05 (-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.3%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.1% premium
PE vs Historical 23.8 vs 20.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $116.36 (+5%)
2-Year Target $122.29 (+11%)
3-Year Target $128.53 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→21) PE COMPRESSION $110.89 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.8, Growth: 6.7%) $134.45 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%) $112.38 (+2%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.7%) $95.52 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57
Bull Case $123.82 (+12%)
Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case $112.56 (+2%)
Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case $75.07 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BJ)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits is currently flooded with bullish sentiment towards $BJ, with one user expressing the view that 'it's just the beginning'. No recent news articles are available for analysis.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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