BJs Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$93.50
-0.86 (-0.91%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
+0.81%
90d:
+6.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.12
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $93.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.40 to $94.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.89, while resistance sits at $97.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.80 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.89, while resistance sits at $97.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.80 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$90.40 -
$94.91
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BJ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($105.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.40 -
$94.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.89
Resistance Level
$97.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.25
Wall Street Target
$105.80
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
2.6%
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.36
(0%)
2-Year Target
$94.36
(0%)
3-Year Target
$94.36
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$115.44
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$114.60
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 6.7%)
$97.41
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57
Bull Case
$103.18
(+9%)
Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$93.80
(-1%)
Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$62.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
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2050 shares
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