DPZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DPZ - Domino's Pizza Inc.
$332.97
9.72 (3.01%)
▲
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+15.77%
90d:
-10.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
Get Alerted When DPZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DPZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DPZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$516.01
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$320.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $332.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $294.79 to $319.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $300.91, while resistance sits at $350.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $388.33 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $300.91, while resistance sits at $350.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $388.33 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$294.79 -
$319.70
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($388.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$294.79 -
$319.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$300.91
Resistance Level
$350.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.93
Wall Street Target
$388.33
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$321.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$310.07
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$299.22
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$332.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$575.64
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$440.65
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$374.55
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.84
Bull Case
$416.61
(+25%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$378.74
(+14%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$219.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$369.97
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 25, 2026 6:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DPZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$231 | 51 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 48 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 50 HOLD |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 48 HOLD |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 39 SELL |
Advanced DPZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DPZ price and gamma walls.
