Is DRI stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DRI is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of DRI stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DRI to be between $196.17 and $216.97. The current price is $221.60.

What is the analyst price target for DRI?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DRI is $228.54. This implies a potential upside of 3.1% from current levels.

DRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES

$221.60

3.65 (1.67%) ▲

5d: -1.62%

30d: +14.16%

90d: +12.45%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your DRI Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 17, 2026 24d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 20, 2026 at $217.95 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 3.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$265.99

Based on 5.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$165.16

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $221.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.17 to $216.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $212.47, while resistance sits at $229.76.

Market Sentiment: DRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $196.17 - $216.97

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($228.54)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $196.17 - $216.97

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $212.47

Resistance Level $229.76

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.47

Wall Street Target $228.54 (+3.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.0%

Profit Margin 9.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium

PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 17.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $228.25 (+3%)

2-Year Target $235.10 (+6%)

3-Year Target $242.15 (+9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $221.40 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.2%) $281.30 (+27%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 7.2%) $272.86 (+23%)

Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: 7.2%) $231.93 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.45

Bull Case $261.14 (+18%)

Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 22.9

Base Case $237.40 (+7%)

Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 20.9

Bear Case $148.21 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Douglas J Milanes SELL 3620 shares 2026-04-17

Lindsay L Koren SELL 300 shares 2026-04-07

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

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Advanced DRI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DRI price and gamma walls.

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