DRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$198.83
-5.42 (-2.65%)
▼
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
-2.36%
90d:
+3.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
Get Alerted When DRI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$264.49
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $198.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.65 to $211.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $191.72, while resistance sits at $210.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.25 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $191.72, while resistance sits at $210.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.25 (+11.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$199.65 -
$211.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($228.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$199.65 -
$211.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$191.73
Resistance Level
$210.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.94
Wall Street Target
$228.25
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$205.07
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$205.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$206.71
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$203.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$305.27
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$251.50
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$213.77
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.48
Bull Case
$241.24
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$219.31
(+7%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$137.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas J Milanes
SELL
3620 shares
2026-04-17
Lindsay L Koren
SELL
300 shares
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 55 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 68 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$85 | 61 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$61 | 64 BUY |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$394 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced DRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DRI price and gamma walls.
