FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$33.14
0.77 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
+6.78%
30d:
+7.93%
90d:
-6.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.94
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $33.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.95 to $32.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.95 -
$32.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.95 -
$32.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.38
Resistance Level
$32.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.76
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.75
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.15
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$30.56
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$32.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.2%)
$43.94
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$34.51
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$29.34
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$37.12
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$33.74
(+4%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$21.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$34.29
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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