FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$35.11
1.24 (3.66%) ▲
5d: -3.94%
30d: -0.79%
90d: +3.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026 7d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FIZZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.61
15.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $35.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.02 to $36.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $34.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $35.02 - $36.92
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $35.02 - $36.92
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.47
Resistance Level $37.65
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.83
Wall Street Target $35.00 (+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Profit Margin 15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 17.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.73 (0%)
2-Year Target $33.60 (-1%)
3-Year Target $33.47 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) $34.00 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 46.9%) $44.45 (+31%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 46.9%) $34.35 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 46.9%) $29.20 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case $40.16 (+19%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case $36.51 (+8%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case $24.68 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.1
Stabilization Target: $34.41 (+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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