FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$21.85
0.52 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
+3.95%
30d:
+19.73%
90d:
+33.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOXF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOXF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.21
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $21.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.37 to $21.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.37 -
$21.05
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.37 -
$21.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.18
Resistance Level
$22.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$21.83
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.61
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$23.41
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$24.23
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.5%)
$56.80
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 15.5%)
$33.64
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 15.5%)
$28.60
(+31%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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