FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$17.33
0.34 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.65%
30d:
-1.81%
90d:
+2.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.10
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.41
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $17.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.96 to $18.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.96 -
$18.36
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($21.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.96 -
$18.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.96
Resistance Level
$19.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.94
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.51
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$16.11
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$17.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$73.58
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 24.7%)
$33.58
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 24.7%)
$28.55
(+65%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.65
(+7.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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