Fox Factory (FOXF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$19.83
0.21 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-4.48%
30d:
-8.7%
90d:
+9.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOXF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOXF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.50
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $19.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.95 to $21.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.03, while resistance sits at $21.73.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.03, while resistance sits at $21.73.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.95 -
$21.48
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.95 -
$21.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.03
Resistance Level
$21.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.79
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.85
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.87
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$19.89
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$19.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.5%)
$57.09
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 15.5%)
$30.53
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 15.5%)
$25.95
(+31%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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