Fox Factory (FOXF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$18.37
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.81%
30d:
-8.33%
90d:
+11.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOXF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FOXF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.90
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.81
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $18.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.67 to $20.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.67, while resistance sits at $19.52.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.83 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.67, while resistance sits at $19.52.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.83 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.67 -
$20.72
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.67 -
$20.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.67
Resistance Level
$19.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.08
Wall Street Target
$21.83
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-20.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.61
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$17.24
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$18.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.9%)
$59.37
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 16.9%)
$29.35
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$24.95
(+36%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$19.49
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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