FOXF
Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS
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Fox Factory (FOXF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.54
-0.21 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
+0.98%
30d:
-2.39%
90d:
-16.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$15.48 – $18.46
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
STRETCHED
vs 10.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.33
+3.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.05 / $19.07
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOXF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $17.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.48 to $18.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.05, while resistance sits at $19.07.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.05, while resistance sits at $19.07.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.48 -
$18.46
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.48 -
$18.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$15.05
Resistance Level
$19.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.57
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-28.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.60
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$21.63
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$23.88
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.3%)
$52.29
(+195%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 29.3%)
$38.37
(+116%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 29.3%)
$28.44
(+60%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FOXF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on $FOXF among StockTwits users with no significant news to report.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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