FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$18.00
0.19 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-2.76%
30d:
+5.63%
90d:
+1.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOXF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.10
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.41
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $18.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.05 to $18.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.12, while resistance sits at $19.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.12, while resistance sits at $19.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.05 -
$18.82
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($21.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.05 -
$18.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.12
Resistance Level
$19.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.33
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.80
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.61
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$17.41
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$18.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.7%)
$70.03
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$34.88
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$29.65
(+65%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.65
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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