FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$17.87
-0.07 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
+9.43%
90d:
+6.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOXF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOXF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.53
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.68
21.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $17.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.76 to $18.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.95, while resistance sits at $19.09.
Market Sentiment: FOXF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.33 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.95, while resistance sits at $19.09.
Market Sentiment: FOXF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.33 (+24.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.76 -
$18.37
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($22.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.76 -
$18.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.96
Resistance Level
$19.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$22.33
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.58
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.23
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$16.88
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$17.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.1%)
$73.61
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 24.1%)
$34.26
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 24.1%)
$29.12
(+62%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$19.12
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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