Fox Factory (FOXF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$14.95
0.10 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-19.17%
30d:
-19.86%
90d:
-19.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOXF is down 19.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOXF is down 19.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.00
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.77
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $14.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.18 to $19.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.49, while resistance sits at $18.83.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $14.49, while resistance sits at $18.83.
Market Sentiment: FOXF scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.18 -
$19.52
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($18.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.18 -
$19.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.49
Resistance Level
$18.83
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.36
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.45
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$15.76
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$50.26
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$28.76
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 24.6%)
$24.45
(+65%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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