FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$65.10
0.09 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+3.27%
30d:
+4.31%
90d:
+7.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.08
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $65.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.17 to $63.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.0) is in line with its historical norms (32.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.17 -
$63.99
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.17 -
$63.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.11
Resistance Level
$64.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.00
Wall Street Target
$68.31
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
199.7%
Profit Margin
46.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
35.0 vs 32.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$67.73
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$69.08
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.0, Growth: -13.5%)
$47.46
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -13.5%)
$29.54
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -13.5%)
$25.11
(-61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$51.36
(-21%)
Analyst growth -28.2%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$46.69
(-28%)
Market implied -28.2%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$44.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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