FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$65.61
-0.23 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
+5.14%
90d:
+5.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.03
Based on -10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $65.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.29 to $67.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.0) is in line with its historical norms (33.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.29 -
$67.36
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
42th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.29 -
$67.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.18
(4.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.56
Resistance Level
$69.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.02
Wall Street Target
$71.31
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Profit Margin
47.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
35.0 vs 33.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.03
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.23
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$69.46
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.0, Growth: -25.1%)
$48.00
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -25.1%)
$28.42
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -25.1%)
$24.15
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78
Bull Case
$49.09
(-25%)
Analyst growth -32.4%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$44.63
(-32%)
Market implied -32.4%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$44.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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