GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$90.33
0.90 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
-4.64%
30d:
+6.72%
90d:
+26.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.16
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $90.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.10 to $91.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $92.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $92.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$84.10 -
$91.94
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($118.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.8% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.10 -
$91.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.73
Resistance Level
$92.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.70
Wall Street Target
$118.43
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 13.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.67
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$99.21
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$103.97
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$169.69
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 10.6%)
$122.32
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$103.97
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.84
Bull Case
$109.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$90.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$69.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James W Sight
SELL
3070 shares
2026-02-09
Seth L Kaplan
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-09
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