GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$100.55
0.42 (0.42%)
â˛
5d:
-3.47%
30d:
+13.09%
90d:
+18.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GFF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.06
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $100.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.49 to $103.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.57 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.57 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$89.49 -
$103.72
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($125.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.49 -
$103.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$99.12
Resistance Level
$107.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.34
Wall Street Target
$125.57
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.18
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$110.01
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$115.07
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.0%)
$183.07
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$149.01
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$126.66
(+26%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.67
Bull Case
$145.16
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$131.97
(+31%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$68.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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