GGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGB - Gerdau S.A.
$5.00
0.30 (6.50%)
â˛
5d:
+12.0%
30d:
-2.06%
90d:
+5.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When GGB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GGB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.28
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGB is currently trading at $5.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.51 to $5.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.6) is in line with its historical norms (1.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: GGB scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.53 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: GGB scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.53 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.51 -
$5.00
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.51 -
$5.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.18
Resistance Level
$5.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.60
Wall Street Target
$5.53
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 1.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.76
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$4.82
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$4.89
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â2)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.60
(-2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -5.1%)
$58.98
(+1158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: -5.1%)
$4.68
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: -5.1%)
$3.98
(-15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$10.14
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$9.22
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$3.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GGB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chia Yuan Wang
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-10
Mauricio Metz
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-10
Marcos Eduardo Fara WahrâĻ
SELL
12419 shares
2026-04-09
Top Rated Steel Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Steel by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NUE
Nucor Corp |
BUY
15 analysts |
$283 | 56 HOLD |
|
STLD
Steel Dynamics Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$271 | 49 HOLD |
|
TX
Ternium SA ADR |
BUY
13 analysts |
$58 | 49 HOLD |
|
MT
ArcelorMittal SA ADR |
BUY
6 analysts |
$76 | 55 HOLD |
|
RS
Reliance Steel & AluminuâĻ |
HOLD
8 analysts |
$409 | 67 BUY |
