GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1148.22
7.69 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
+4.74%
90d:
+8.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1134.57
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$704.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1148.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1103.09 to $1144.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1176.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1176.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1103.09 -
$1144.89
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.2% above Wall St target ($990.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1103.09 -
$1144.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1085.67
Resistance Level
$1176.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.02
Wall Street Target
$990.00
(-13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1151.94
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1163.45
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$1175.09
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1139.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.9%)
$1336.01
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -2.9%)
$1044.20
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: -2.9%)
$887.57
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $67.65
Bull Case
$1247.03
(+9%)
Analyst growth -1.0%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$1133.66
(-1%)
Market implied -1.0%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$778.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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