GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1203.54
-21.98 (-1.79%)
▼
5d:
+4.21%
30d:
+2.87%
90d:
+7.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1148.32
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$713.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1203.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1147.97 to $1197.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1110.75, while resistance sits at $1262.35.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1110.75, while resistance sits at $1262.35.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$1147.97 -
$1197.72
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.7% above Wall St target ($990.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1147.97 -
$1197.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1110.75
Resistance Level
$1262.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.96
Wall Street Target
$990.00
(-17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1233.63
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$1264.47
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$1296.08
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1204.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -2.9%)
$1271.60
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: -2.9%)
$1101.89
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: -2.9%)
$936.61
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $67.16
Bull Case
$1344.86
(+12%)
Analyst growth -0.2%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$1222.60
(+2%)
Market implied -0.2%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$833.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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