GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$1148.22
7.69 (0.67%) ▲
5d: +1.61%
30d: +4.74%
90d: +8.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1134.57
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$704.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1148.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1103.09 to $1144.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $1176.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $990.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1103.09 - $1144.89
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 13.2% above Wall St target ($990.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1103.09 - $1144.89
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1085.67
Resistance Level $1176.07
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.02
Wall Street Target $990.00 (-13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.4%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 17.0 vs 16.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1151.94 (+1%)
2-Year Target $1163.45 (+2%)
3-Year Target $1175.09 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) PE COMPRESSION $1139.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.9%) $1336.01 (+17%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -2.9%) $1044.20 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 14.5, Growth: -2.9%) $887.57 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $67.65
Bull Case $1247.03 (+9%)
Analyst growth -1.0%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case $1133.66 (-1%)
Market implied -1.0%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case $778.37 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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