GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$25.07
-0.63 (-2.47%)
▼
5d:
-3.74%
30d:
+7.12%
90d:
+18.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.12
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $25.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.44 to $25.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.44 -
$25.50
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.44 -
$25.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.75
Resistance Level
$25.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.60
Wall Street Target
$29.33
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.14
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$26.58
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$27.03
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$66.36
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.2%)
$35.33
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$30.03
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$35.54
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$32.31
(+26%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$17.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Nash
SELL
11885 shares
2026-02-17
Neil Boehm
SELL
11248 shares
2026-02-17
Steven R Downing
SELL
35000 shares
2026-02-17
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