GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$23.36
-0.28 (-1.16%)
▼
5d:
+2.01%
30d:
-5.31%
90d:
+1.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.17
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $23.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.52 to $25.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.16, while resistance sits at $24.44.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.89 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.16, while resistance sits at $24.44.
Market Sentiment: GNTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.89 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.52 -
$25.03
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.52 -
$25.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.17
Resistance Level
$24.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.52
Wall Street Target
$27.89
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.6%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.99
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.62
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$22.26
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$23.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.0%)
$54.79
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 6.0%)
$27.80
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 6.0%)
$23.63
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$31.21
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$28.37
(+22%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$16.07
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.43
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Nash
SELL
11885 shares
2026-02-17
Neil Boehm
SELL
11248 shares
2026-02-17
Steven R Downing
SELL
35000 shares
2026-02-17
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