Gentex (GNTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$22.79
0.11 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-2.61%
90d:
-11.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.63
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $22.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.81 to $23.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.72 (+21.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.72 (+21.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.81 -
$23.91
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($27.72)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.81 -
$23.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.03
Resistance Level
$23.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$27.72
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.33
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.89
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$21.45
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$22.91
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.4%)
$52.20
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 5.4%)
$26.65
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$22.65
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$29.21
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$26.56
(+17%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$15.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.34
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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