GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$23.64
0.05 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
-0.67%
90d:
+1.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.06
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $23.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.41 to $24.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.78 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.78 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.41 -
$24.19
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.78)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.41 -
$24.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.11
Resistance Level
$24.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.66
Wall Street Target
$27.78
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$23.17
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.94
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$23.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$52.82
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.9%)
$28.05
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$23.85
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.88
Bull Case
$30.61
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$27.83
(+18%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$16.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.40
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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