Gentex (GNTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$21.95
0.21 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
-0.41%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
-10.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.35
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $21.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.08 to $23.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.72 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.72 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.08 -
$23.10
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($27.72)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.08 -
$23.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.46
Resistance Level
$22.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.92
Wall Street Target
$27.72
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.27
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$20.61
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$19.97
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$21.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$52.80
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$25.67
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$21.82
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.93
Bull Case
$27.42
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$24.93
(+14%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$14.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.12
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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