Gentex (GNTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.42
-0.08 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
-6.23%
90d:
-17.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.06 – $21.39
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.1x
CHEAP
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.28
+30.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.24 / $21.10
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: GNTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.65
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $19.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.06 to $21.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.28 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.28 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.06 -
$21.39
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.06 -
$21.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$19.24
Resistance Level
$21.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($25.28)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$25.28
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.37
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$17.38
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.44
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$19.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$51.57
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$23.62
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$20.07
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$24.50
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.2%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$22.27
(+15%)
Market implied 14.2%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$13.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$22.85
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GNTX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $GNTX with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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