Gentex (GNTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$21.00
-0.26 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
-5.83%
90d:
-11.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 26% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.33
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $21.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.08 to $22.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GNTX scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.08 -
$22.33
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.08 -
$22.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.62
Resistance Level
$21.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.61
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.18
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$19.39
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$18.64
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$20.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$50.01
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.9%)
$24.21
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$20.58
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$27.03
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$24.57
(+17%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$14.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.59
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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