GRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRMN - Garmin Ltd
$234.20
2.31 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
+2.41%
90d:
-0.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$325.76
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRMN is currently trading at $234.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.82 to $240.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $229.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.43 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $229.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.43 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.82 -
$240.10
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($262.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.82 -
$240.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$229.88
Resistance Level
$242.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.69
Wall Street Target
$262.43
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$230.69
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$227.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$223.82
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$233.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 7.8%)
$293.11
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$281.42
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$239.21
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.95
Bull Case
$294.24
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$267.49
(+14%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$157.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$244.68
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas G Boessen
SELL
3487 shares
2026-02-26
Matthew Munn
SELL
5275 shares
2026-02-26
Patrick Desbois
SELL
6694 shares
2026-02-26
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