GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$30.60
-0.55 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
-0.65%
30d:
-3.62%
90d:
+18.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.47
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $30.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.53 to $33.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.58, while resistance sits at $32.69.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+19.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.58, while resistance sits at $32.69.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.50 (+19.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.53 -
$33.78
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.53 -
$33.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.58
Resistance Level
$32.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 11.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.62
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$34.77
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$37.07
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.4%)
$56.25
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$36.89
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$30.39
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case
$42.37
(+39%)
Analyst growth 23.7%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$38.52
(+26%)
Market implied 23.7%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$21.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Olivier Rabiller
SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
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SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-26
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13000 shares
2026-02-25
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