GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$26.62
0.22 (0.83%)
▲
5d:
-8.21%
30d:
-15.55%
90d:
-19.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $26.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.49 to $31.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+39.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.49 -
$31.79
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($37.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.49 -
$31.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.17
Resistance Level
$30.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$37.17
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.81
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.99
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$27.18
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.76
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$61.18
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$35.30
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$30.01
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$37.72
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.9%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$34.29
(+29%)
Market implied 29.9%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$17.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Olivier Rabiller
SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
Daniel Deiro
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-26
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