GTX
Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
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Garrett Motion (GTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.50
+0.50 (+2.38%)
▲
5d:
+11.05%
30d:
-15.19%
90d:
-25.86%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
69/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$20.66 – $25.17
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.5x
CHEAP
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$33.83
+57.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.24 / $22.66
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GTX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.12
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.43
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $21.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.66 to $25.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.24, while resistance sits at $22.66.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.24, while resistance sits at $22.66.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.83 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.66 -
$25.17
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.66 -
$25.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$19.24
Resistance Level
$22.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.4% below Wall St target ($33.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.47
Wall Street Target
$33.83
(+57.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.32
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$18.14
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$21.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$60.97
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$29.07
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$24.71
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$26.89
(+25%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$24.45
(+14%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$14.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.43
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GTX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Garrett Motion's oil-free centrifugal compressor technology is being adopted by Multistack for their next-generation data center cooling platforms in Asia-Pacific.
Key Retail Themes:
Expansion of Garrett's technology into industrial thermal management
Growing need for efficient and reliable cooling in data centers
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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