Garrett Motion (GTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$27.07
0.82 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+5.25%
30d:
+0.22%
90d:
-18.44%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $27.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.83 to $27.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.83 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.83 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.83 -
$27.29
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($36.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.83 -
$27.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.01
Resistance Level
$27.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.78
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.39
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$27.72
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.06
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$62.19
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$35.90
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$30.51
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$36.27
(+34%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$32.97
(+22%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$17.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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