GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$33.70
-0.80 (-2.31%)
▼
5d:
-1.27%
30d:
+1.43%
90d:
+87.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 13.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 13.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.03
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $33.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.44 to $34.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.44 -
$34.02
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.44 -
$34.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.90
Resistance Level
$34.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.50
Wall Street Target
$35.67
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.3%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 10.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.25
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$44.67
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$50.83
(+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$67.61
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$48.12
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$32.60
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$49.12
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$44.65
(+30%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$23.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Olivier Rabiller
SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
Daniel Deiro
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-26
Daniel Deiro
SELL
13000 shares
2026-02-25
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