Garrett Motion (GTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$27.62
0.43 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
-17.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $27.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.59 to $29.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.59 -
$29.62
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($37.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.59 -
$29.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.36
Resistance Level
$28.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$37.17
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.12
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$28.62
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$29.14
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$61.49
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$36.63
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$31.13
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$38.20
(+38%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$34.72
(+26%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$18.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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