Garrett Motion (GTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$21.55
-0.45 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
-11.82%
30d:
-14.82%
90d:
-30.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GTX is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GTX is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.13
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.81
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $21.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.10 to $26.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.73, while resistance sits at $26.43.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.83 (+61.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.73, while resistance sits at $26.43.
Market Sentiment: GTX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.83 (+61.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.10 -
$26.68
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.6% below Wall St target ($34.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.10 -
$26.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.73
Resistance Level
$26.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.60
Wall Street Target
$34.83
(+61.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.39
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.29
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$18.24
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$21.67
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$57.84
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$27.95
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$23.76
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$32.54
(+51%)
Analyst growth 34.5%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$29.58
(+37%)
Market implied 34.5%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$14.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$25.60
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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