HDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HDL - SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
$14.00
-0.24 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
+4.67%
30d:
+13.54%
90d:
-3.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
1d
Get Alerted When HDL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HDL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.83
21.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HDL is currently trading at $14.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.92 to $13.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+28.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HDL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HDL scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+28.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.92 -
$13.80
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.92 -
$13.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.80
Resistance Level
$14.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.76
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.53
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.30
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$14.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.9%)
$47.87
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 37.9%)
$36.70
(+162%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 37.9%)
$31.19
(+123%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.50
Bull Case
$28.51
(+104%)
Analyst growth 82.0%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$25.92
(+85%)
Market implied 82.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$9.68
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.74
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$207 | 62 BUY |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 56 HOLD |
|
MCD
McDonald’s Corporation |
BUY
34 analysts |
$316 | 62 BUY |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$380 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$44 | 41 HOLD |