HII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.
$283.74
0.25 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-4.95%
30d:
-11.51%
90d:
-29.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When HII Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HII trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$639.56
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$397.11
28.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HII is currently trading at $283.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.32 to $316.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $274.81, while resistance sits at $303.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.91 (+36.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $274.81, while resistance sits at $303.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $387.91 (+36.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$287.32 -
$316.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($387.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$287.32 -
$316.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.65
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$274.81
Resistance Level
$303.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.92
Wall Street Target
$387.91
(+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$255.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$229.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$206.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$283.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$712.23
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$455.12
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$386.85
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.38
Bull Case
$405.27
(+43%)
Analyst growth 32.4%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$368.42
(+30%)
Market implied 32.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$189.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$389.04
(+37.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chad N Boudreaux
SELL
4400 shares
2026-03-05
Eric D Chewning
SELL
1700 shares
2026-03-04
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$270 | 57 HOLD |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$305 | 62 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1525 | 60 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$216 | 63 BUY |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$351 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced HII Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HII price and gamma walls.
