HIPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIPO - Hippo Holdings Inc.
$27.08
0.75 (2.85%)
▲
5d:
+4.72%
30d:
+3.36%
90d:
+4.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HIPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.00
22.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIPO is currently trading at $27.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.94 to $26.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+45.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HIPO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.25 (+45.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.94 -
$26.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.3% below Wall St target ($38.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.94 -
$26.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.08
Resistance Level
$27.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.82
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(+45.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.3%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.54
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.77
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$24.03
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$26.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.8%)
$166.42
(+532%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 41.8%)
$75.07
(+185%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 41.8%)
$63.81
(+142%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$17.60
(-33%)
Analyst growth -39.1%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$16.00
(-39%)
Market implied -39.1%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$17.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.94
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-09
Richard Mccathron
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-09
Torben Ostergaard
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-25
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