HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$43.00
-0.19 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-4.85%
30d:
+3.71%
90d:
+19.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HUBG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HUBG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.00
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $43.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.14 to $45.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.75, while resistance sits at $45.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.75, while resistance sits at $45.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.14 -
$45.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.14 -
$45.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.75
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.58
Wall Street Target
$42.20
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.14
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$45.11
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$46.10
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$57.22
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$56.69
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$48.19
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$55.65
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$50.59
(+17%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$29.91
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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