IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$21.14
0.64 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+15.52%
30d:
+43.52%
90d:
+25.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: IAG is 15.0% above its trading range ($18.39). Market expects 4.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: IAG is 15.0% above its trading range ($18.39). Market expects 4.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.85
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $21.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.10 to $18.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.60 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.60 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.10 -
$18.39
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.10 -
$18.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.47
Resistance Level
$21.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.26
Wall Street Target
$23.60
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
191.4%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.07
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$23.04
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$24.06
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.04
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$58.08
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$26.80
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$22.78
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$26.00
(+23%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$23.63
(+12%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$13.94
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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