IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$14.75
0.56 (3.95%)
▲
5d:
+0.27%
30d:
-10.93%
90d:
-11.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IAG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 823% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IAG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 823% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.65
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.31
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $14.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.34 to $15.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.62, while resistance sits at $15.64. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.40 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.62, while resistance sits at $15.64. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.40 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.82
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.6% below Wall St target ($23.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.34 -
$15.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.62
Resistance Level
$15.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.40
Wall Street Target
$23.40
(+58.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.58
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$12.51
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$11.52
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$14.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$58.41
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$18.02
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$15.32
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$21.05
(+43%)
Analyst growth 34.9%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$19.14
(+30%)
Market implied 34.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$9.65
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$18.91
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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