IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$16.88
-0.70 (-3.98%)
▼
5d:
+4.58%
30d:
+4.33%
90d:
-0.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IAG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 823% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IAG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 823% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.18
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $16.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.02 to $18.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.82, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.90 (+47.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.82, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.90 (+47.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.02 -
$18.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.5% below Wall St target ($24.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.02 -
$18.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.82
Resistance Level
$18.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.97
Wall Street Target
$24.90
(+47.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.75
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$14.69
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$13.71
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$16.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.9%)
$53.17
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$17.02
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$14.46
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$27.39
(+62%)
Analyst growth 41.6%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$24.90
(+48%)
Market implied 41.6%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$11.95
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.83
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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