IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$14.82
-0.50 (-3.26%)
▼
5d:
-10.51%
30d:
-0.13%
90d:
-25.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.37
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.13
2.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $14.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.23 to $17.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+61.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+61.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.23 -
$17.00
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.9% below Wall St target ($24.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.23 -
$17.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.82
Resistance Level
$18.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.17
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+61.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.91
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$14.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.7%)
$58.32
(+294%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 3.7%)
$16.52
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 3.7%)
$14.05
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$23.67
(+60%)
Analyst growth 40.4%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$21.52
(+45%)
Market implied 40.4%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$10.42
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.17
(+36.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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