IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$246.81
2.20 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
+2.74%
30d:
+10.74%
90d:
+13.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$357.97
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $246.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $226.65 to $244.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$226.65 -
$244.28
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($244.82)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$226.65 -
$244.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$232.55
Resistance Level
$253.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.67
Wall Street Target
$244.82
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$242.37
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$238.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$233.72
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$247.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$320.65
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$297.01
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$252.46
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.08
Bull Case
$337.55
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$306.86
(+24%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$166.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$260.85
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
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