IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$210.68
-1.24 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+1.0%
30d:
-2.85%
90d:
-21.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IBP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IBP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$375.31
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$233.04
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $210.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.54 to $215.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $195.40, while resistance sits at $224.93.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.55 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $195.40, while resistance sits at $224.93.
Market Sentiment: IBP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.55 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$202.54 -
$215.14
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($234.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.54 -
$215.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$195.40
Resistance Level
$224.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.78
Wall Street Target
$234.55
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 23.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.30
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$181.04
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$167.83
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→24)
$210.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$329.43
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$284.02
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 10.5%)
$241.41
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.36
Bull Case
$287.78
(+36%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$261.62
(+24%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$148.41
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$264.79
(+25.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
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