IBTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IBTA - Ibotta, Inc.

SERVICES-ADVERTISING
$37.71
1.23 (3.37%) ▲
5d: -2.91%
30d: +43.44%
90d: +17.99%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBTA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.23
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.16
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IBTA is currently trading at $37.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.58 to $37.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IBTA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.61, while resistance sits at $39.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: IBTA scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $27.58 - $37.42
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 40th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.14)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $27.58 - $37.42
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.86 (10.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.61
Resistance Level $39.01
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.02
Wall Street Target $36.14 (-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -90.2%
Profit Margin -3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 18.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.77 (+3%)
2-Year Target $39.85 (+6%)
3-Year Target $40.97 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $37.65 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.1%) $62.29 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 18.1%) $62.15 (+65%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 18.1%) $52.82 (+40%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marisa Daspit SELL 2956 shares 2026-03-05

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Advanced IBTA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBTA price and gamma walls.

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