ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.12
0.12 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
-5.45%
30d:
-20.82%
90d:
-0.68%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.54
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.43 to $6.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.45 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.45 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.43 -
$6.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($6.45)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.43 -
$6.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.51
Resistance Level
$6.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.11
Wall Street Target
$6.45
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.78
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.58
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.38
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$5.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$12.16
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$6.20
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$5.27
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$11.15
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$10.14
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$3.45
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$5.72
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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