Is INTC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, INTC is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of INTC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for INTC to be between $102.15 and $130.54. The current price is $94.64.

What is the analyst price target for INTC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for INTC is $108.62. This implies a potential upside of 8.4% from current levels.

INTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INTC - Intel Corp

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$94.64

-5.59 (-5.58%) ▼

5d: -0.43%

30d: -28.12%

90d: +41.71%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 23, 2026 0d

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Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$79.11

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$49.12

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INTC is currently trading at $94.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.15 to $130.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 61.7) is in line with its historical norms (62.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INTC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.59, while resistance sits at $109.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: INTC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $102.15 - $130.54

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($108.62)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $102.15 - $130.54

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.59

Resistance Level $109.61

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jul 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 61.68

Wall Street Target $108.63 (+8.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.7%

Profit Margin -5.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 61.7 vs 62.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $99.63 (-1%)

2-Year Target $99.03 (-1%)

3-Year Target $98.44 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 62→63) $100.22 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 61.7, Growth: 45.2%) $306.87 (+206%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 45.2%) $104.23 (+4%)

Bear: (PE: 17.8, Growth: 45.2%) $88.60 (-12%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 61.7 to 62.8

Stabilization Target: $102.05 (+1.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.8%

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Last updated: July 24, 2026 2:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

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