IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$100.21
2.46 (2.52%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
+9.93%
90d:
+10.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IPAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IPAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.92
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $100.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.56 to $98.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.33 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.33 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.56 -
$98.75
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($109.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.56 -
$98.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.71
Resistance Level
$97.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.54
Wall Street Target
$109.33
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.65
(0%)
2-Year Target
$97.55
(0%)
3-Year Target
$97.46
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$97.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$183.21
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$147.52
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$125.39
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case
$115.29
(+18%)
Analyst growth 5.8%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$104.81
(+7%)
Market implied 5.8%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$67.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$98.10
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Madar
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-02
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