ITRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$100.03
1.60 (1.63%)
â˛
5d:
-1.51%
30d:
+19.18%
90d:
+22.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ITRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ITRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.57
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $100.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.22 to $104.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $96.13, while resistance sits at $104.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $96.13, while resistance sits at $104.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.22 -
$104.38
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($129.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -7.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.22 -
$104.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.13
Resistance Level
$104.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.59
Wall Street Target
$129.60
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.93
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$101.84
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$102.76
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$167.65
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 6.8%)
$121.91
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 6.8%)
$103.62
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.98
Bull Case
$124.10
(+24%)
Analyst growth 14.6%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$112.82
(+13%)
Market implied 14.6%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$66.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joan S Hooper
SELL
3533 shares
2026-02-26
Donald L Reeves III
SELL
519 shares
2026-02-25
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