ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$50.89
0.34 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-4.68%
30d:
-7.97%
90d:
-12.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.79
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $50.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.46 to $56.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.46 -
$56.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($73.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.46 -
$56.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.86
Resistance Level
$57.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.87
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.02
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$49.17
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$48.34
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$50.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.1%)
$80.70
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 3.1%)
$55.75
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$47.39
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$63.38
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$57.61
(+13%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$34.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$53.58
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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