JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$19.06
0.56 (3.03%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+20.71%
90d:
+53.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: JILL is 7.5% above its trading range ($17.73). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: JILL is 7.5% above its trading range ($17.73). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.13
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $19.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.75 to $17.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (5.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $15.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.75 -
$17.73
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.2% above Wall St target ($15.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.1% growth with -6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.75 -
$17.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.44
Resistance Level
$19.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.71
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(-16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.1% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 5.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.18
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$22.02
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$24.02
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.61
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$94.30
(+410%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$30.54
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 18.2%)
$23.66
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$40.08
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$36.44
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$12.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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