JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$20.01
-0.20 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
+7.12%
30d:
+18.68%
90d:
+61.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JILL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JILL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.60
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.10 to $19.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.10, while resistance sits at $20.89.
Market Sentiment: JILL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.10, while resistance sits at $20.89.
Market Sentiment: JILL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.10 -
$19.64
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.5% above Wall St target ($16.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.9% growth with -6.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.10 -
$19.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.10
Resistance Level
$20.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.26
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(-17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 5.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.19
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$24.61
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$27.29
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$91.21
(+356%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$33.03
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$24.11
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$44.70
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$40.64
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$13.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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