KBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBH - KB Home
$55.37
0.91 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
-0.45%
90d:
+15.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.84
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $55.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.21 to $57.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KBH scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KBH scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$55.21 -
$57.63
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KBH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -27.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.21 -
$57.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.61
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.91
Resistance Level
$58.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.02
Wall Street Target
$58.67
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.2%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.92
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$58.51
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$60.15
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 38.2%)
$243.89
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 38.2%)
$146.03
(+164%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 38.2%)
$124.13
(+124%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.97
Bull Case
$69.53
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$63.21
(+14%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$37.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KBH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KBH price and gamma walls.
