KDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$30.01
-0.36 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-3.57%
30d:
-2.31%
90d:
+5.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KDP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KDP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.36
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $30.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.09 to $32.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.24 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.24 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.09 -
$32.13
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.24)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.09 -
$32.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.45
Resistance Level
$33.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$35.24
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.47
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$31.66
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$70.65
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$41.93
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$35.64
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$63.67
(+112%)
Analyst growth 87.3%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$57.88
(+93%)
Market implied 87.3%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$21.02
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 7:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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