KDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$30.58
-0.30 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
-3.76%
30d:
+6.24%
90d:
+15.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
Get Alerted When KDP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KDP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.93
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $30.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.38 to $31.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.57, while resistance sits at $31.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.57, while resistance sits at $31.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.38 -
$31.31
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.53)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.38 -
$31.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.57
Resistance Level
$31.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$33.53
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.06
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$31.43
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$74.10
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$41.61
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$35.37
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$63.27
(+105%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$57.51
(+86%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$20.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Top Rated Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KO
The Coca-Cola Company |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$86 | 56 HOLD |
|
MNST
Monster Beverage Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$90 | 56 HOLD |
|
CELH
Celsius Holdings Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$61 | 58 HOLD |
|
KOF
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de C… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$116 | 50 HOLD |
|
PEP
PepsiCo Inc |
SELL
23 analysts |
$168 | 60 BUY |
