KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$25.58
0.72 (2.90%)
▲
5d:
-2.44%
30d:
-18.2%
90d:
-16.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.21
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.80
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $25.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.52 to $30.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.24, while resistance sits at $30.46.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+59.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.24, while resistance sits at $30.46.
Market Sentiment: KGC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+59.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.52 -
$30.71
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($40.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.52 -
$30.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.24
Resistance Level
$30.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.45
Wall Street Target
$40.91
(+59.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.9%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$26.04
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$102.90
(+302%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$34.96
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$29.72
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$39.97
(+56%)
Analyst growth 46.1%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$36.33
(+42%)
Market implied 46.1%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$16.90
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$35.72
(+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 13, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
