KNF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$66.17
0.21 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
-14.78%
90d:
-10.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.93
33.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $66.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.35 to $78.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.79, while resistance sits at $68.81.
Market Sentiment: KNF scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.50 (+42.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.79, while resistance sits at $68.81.
Market Sentiment: KNF scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.50 (+42.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.35 -
$78.41
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.8% below Wall St target ($94.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.35 -
$78.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.79
Resistance Level
$68.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.65
Wall Street Target
$94.50
(+42.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 20.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.41
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$56.98
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$52.88
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$66.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.2%)
$214.95
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 39.2%)
$178.36
(+170%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 39.2%)
$151.61
(+129%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$116.72
(+76%)
Analyst growth 60.9%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$106.10
(+60%)
Market implied 60.9%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$44.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$82.64
(+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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