KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$106.39
-3.16 (-2.88%)
▼
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-0.11%
90d:
+12.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.73
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.61
17.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $106.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.41 to $108.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $110.94.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $110.94.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$105.41 -
$108.44
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.41 -
$108.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.00
Resistance Level
$110.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.58
Wall Street Target
$116.24
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.94
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$101.55
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$99.22
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$106.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.0%)
$334.43
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 22.0%)
$193.12
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 22.0%)
$164.15
(+54%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$114.20
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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|---|---|---|---|
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