LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$103.50
1.14 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
-0.02%
30d:
+0.14%
90d:
-11.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.70
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.41
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $103.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.43 to $106.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.25, while resistance sits at $109.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.60 (+33.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.25, while resistance sits at $109.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.60 (+33.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$100.43 -
$106.62
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($136.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.43 -
$106.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.25
Resistance Level
$109.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$136.60
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.19
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$88.53
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$82.33
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$102.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$291.84
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$146.73
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$124.72
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.86
Bull Case
$141.08
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.9%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$128.26
(+25%)
Market implied 24.9%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$69.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$127.67
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
Jason Lippert
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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