LECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
$252.58
1.38 (0.55%)
▲
5d:
-1.26%
30d:
-2.01%
90d:
-2.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LECO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LECO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$382.38
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$237.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LECO is currently trading at $252.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $253.62 to $270.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $247.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $247.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$253.62 -
$270.27
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($296.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$253.62 -
$270.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.92
Resistance Level
$269.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.97
Wall Street Target
$296.70
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$246.52
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$240.60
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$234.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$251.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$351.86
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 10.3%)
$338.76
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$287.95
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.69
Bull Case
$343.17
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$311.97
(+24%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$170.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$271.02
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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