LECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
$269.11
-5.64 (-2.05%)
▼
5d:
+0.47%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
+6.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LECO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$384.08
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LECO is currently trading at $269.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $256.30 to $268.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $269.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $269.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LECO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $296.70 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$256.30 -
$268.92
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($296.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$256.30 -
$268.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.92
Resistance Level
$269.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.34
Wall Street Target
$296.70
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$268.03
(0%)
2-Year Target
$266.96
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$265.89
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$268.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.3%)
$360.93
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.3%)
$351.86
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.3%)
$299.08
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.69
Bull Case
$375.69
(+40%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$341.53
(+27%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$186.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$272.22
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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